As Democrats are looking for their nominee to take on President Trump, a new poll suggests they may want to look to someone other than their current front-runner, former Vice President Joe Biden.
According to the Washington Examiner, Trump beats Biden in a hypothetical match-up across key states including Florida, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Texas.
From the report:
The poll surveyed 1,200 likely voters April 27-30 across Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. It was conducted by WPA Intelligence on behalf of Americans for Fair Skies, a political nonprofit urging the federal government to enforce trade agreements related to the airline industry. WPA Intelligence advised Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, during his 2016 campaign.
Overall, the margin of error was 2.8 percentage points, a figure generally considered reliable. However, each state measured, with a sample of 200 likely voters, had a relatively high margin of error of 6.9 points. Americans for Fair Skies purposely commissioned this poll of states important to Trump’s reelection in a bid to catch the president’s attention on a trade dispute American carriers are embroiled in with airlines being subsidized by Qatar.
But beyond this sort of industry-specific data, the poll included a trove of information that could offer clues about 2020. For instance:
- Across Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin, Trump’s approval is strongest among Republicans (91%), conservatives (82%), and voters without a college education making less than $75,000 (59%).”
- Across the same states, Trump’s approval with rural voters was 54%; was 49% with suburban voters; weak with “moderates” — a low 29%; and a respectable 46% with independents.
- In a potential matchup with Biden, Trump led in Florida 48% – 44%; in Iowa 49% – 44%; in Texas 49% – 42%; and in Wisconsin 46% – 42%. However, Biden topped Trump in Michigan 45% – 42%, and in Pennsylvania, where the former vice president launched his campaign, 46% – 45%.
Democrats have two dozen candidates to also consider in what could be a fiesty primary contest. Other candidates currently polling at the front of the pack include Senator Bernie Sanders, Senator Kamala Harris, and former Congressman Beto O’Rourke.
Three governors are also in contention for the nomination, including Washington Governor Jay Inslee, former Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper, and Montana Governor Steve Bullock—who announced on Tuesday.